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Articolo

Dati del DOI
DOI 10.7336/academicus.2016.13.03
URL https://academicus.edu.al/?subpage=volumes&nr=13
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Dati della rivista

Titolo completo
Inglese (eng)
Academicus International Scientific Journal
Editore (01) Academicus International Scientific Journal
Paese di pubblicazione Albania (AL)
ISSN 20793715
Formato del prodotto Rivista Stampata (JB)
ISSN 23091088
Formato del prodotto Rivista Online (JD)

Dati del fascicolo
Numero del volume 13
Data del fascicolo (YYYY/MM) 2016 / 01
Dati dell'articolo
Titolo
Inglese (eng)
Inflation, exchange rate and efficacy of monetary policy in Nigeria: The empirical evidence
Di (autore) (A01) BigBen Chukwuma Ogbonna
Affiliazione Department of Economics, Ebonyi State University Abakaliki, Nigeria, Dr.
Numero di Pagine 14
Prima Pagina 40
Ultima Pagina 53
Lingua del testo Inglese (eng)
Data di publicazione (YYYY/MM) 2016 / 01
Copyright 2016, Academicus
Abstract
Descrizione principale (01)
This paper analyses the post SAP persistence of inflation in Nigeria for the period, 1960-2008 with exchange rate, money supply and trade balance as preferred influential variables. To investigate the effect of policy switch from the period of direct instrument to the period of deregulation occasioned by SAP of 1986, we proceed to bifurcate the sample period into two, comprising the period of direct instruments of monetary policy, 1960 – 1985 and the period of indirect instruments of monetary policy, 1986 – 2008. Estimates from a vector auto regression model (VAR) of key macroeconomic variables demonstrate the weak link between money supply and inflation in the both time horizons, which suggests that the hypothesis that money supply is not an effective policy instrument for management of inflationary developments cannot be rejected for Nigeria. The results further suggest that in both time horizons, exchange rate has been identified as a singular most promising macroeconomic fundamental for both internal and external sectors adjustments. However, the deregulation of the domestic economy as occasioned by SAP has significantly diluted the efficacy of exchange rate as a monetary policy instrument for the management of Nigeria’s aggregate money stock and trade balance developments. These notwithstanding, the Central Bank of Nigeria can continue to play a stabilizing role in the economy through the continuation of prudent monetary policies and frequent interventions in exchange rate management to smooth out shocks.

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